Corea del Norte: Escenarios Prospectivos y su Impacto en la Estabilidad de Asia-Pacífico

Roberto Celaya Figueroa; Teodoro Rafael Wendlandt Amézaga

doi:10.53897/RevPortes.2025.04.03

Autores/as

Roberto Celaya Figueroa Instituto Tecnológico de Sonora https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3101-6094
Teodoro Rafael Wendlandt Amézaga Instituto Tecnológico de Sonora https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0244-4062

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.53897/RevPortes.2025.04.03

Palabras clave:

Corea del Norte, escenarios prospectivos, Asia-Pacífico

Resumen

La península coreana es central en los estudios geopolíticos contemporáneos por su relevancia estratégica y las tensiones persistentes desde su división tras la Segunda Guerra Mundial. Este estudio analiza tres escenarios prospectivos para el futuro de Corea del Norte: colapso y absorción, reunificación pacífica e intervención militar. Mediante un análisis prospectivo que combina la construcción de escenarios y el análisis de variables geopolíticas clave, se examina el impacto potencial de cada escenario en la estabilidad y el equilibrio de poder en Asia-Pacífico, considerando el papel de Estados Unidos, China, Japón y Rusia. El objetivo es explorar las implicaciones geopolíticas de estas dinámicas y contribuir al debate sobre este epicentro de tensión con potencial para afectar la seguridad y prosperidad regional en el mediano plazo.

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Biografía del autor/a

Roberto Celaya Figueroa, Instituto Tecnológico de Sonora

Profesor investigador del Instituto Tecnológico de Sonora.

Teodoro Rafael Wendlandt Amézaga, Instituto Tecnológico de Sonora

Profesor investigador del Departamento de Ciencias Administrativas, del Instituto Tecnológico de Sonora.

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