Las nociones de Tucídides de miedo, honor e interés en el conflicto estratégico entre Estados Unidos y China respecto a Taiwán
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.53897/REvChinaGR.2025.05.03Palabras clave:
China, Taiwán, Estados Unidos, Tucídides, disputaResumen
Este artículo describirá los principales escenarios estratégicos en la disputa entre China y Estados Unidos sobre Taiwán, considerando algunos temas propuestos por el historiador y filósofo político, Tucídides, desarrollados en su Historia de la Guerra del Peloponeso. Estos temas se examinarán a la luz de tres componentes del actual enfrentamiento entre Estados Unidos y China: 1) la situación geopolítica y su probable escenario futuro; 2) el componente económico y tecnológico; y 3) y, por último, pero no menos importante, la disputa ideológica sobre el régimen político taiwanés. La hipótesis de este trabajo es que, dado que el ascenso o la caída de China y Estados Unidos no está garantizado en los próximos años, la batalla de ambas superpotencias por Taiwán se decidirá en función de su comportamiento ante la tríada tucididiana de miedo, honor e interés.
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