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China: Growth on the edge or consolidated superpower?
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At least since the presidency of Donald Trump in the United States, and the Covid-19 pandemic, there has been an important debate about the future of China and its ability to sustain and grow as a superpower, capable of exerting a significant counterweight to the United States in the international system. A significant text in this debate is that of the American academic and former diplomat Susan Shirk (2022), who argues that China's “peaceful rise” would be ruined by an increasingly open exercise of hard power. This is expressed, inter alia, in threats to Taiwan and South China Sea neighbors, the tightening of its control over Hong Kong and the open challenge to U.S. military, technological and economic hegemony. This overreach, which also includes a hardening of the political regime in Beijing, could call into question the continued existence of the People's Republic of China (PRC) as a superpower.
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Shirk, Susan (2022). Overreach: How China Derailed Its Peaceful Rise. Oxford y Nueva York: Oxford University Press.
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